Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.907572 1.109712 1.325530 1.571104 1.840898 2.126552 2.450179
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.677097 0.958353 1.281512 1.671762 2.122562 2.620223 3.204743
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.532254 0.845892 1.226678 1.705784 2.277420 2.924759 3.701213
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.411089 0.739347 1.160872 1.712282 2.389614 3.173715 4.130882
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.297972 0.619473 1.058858 1.657205 2.413496 3.307422 4.416431
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.211631 0.518829 0.967609 1.603590 2.429397 3.424161 4.676082
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.152105 0.444758 0.901752 1.573710 2.467240 3.561176 4.954506
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.119168 0.407444 0.883256 1.603216 2.577737 3.784988 5.335875
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.088911 0.366350 0.853475 1.612995 2.659696 3.971588 5.671030
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.058969 0.314570 0.799973 1.584041 2.686820 4.086998 5.917413
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.052711 0.316330 0.833868 1.681743 2.883747 4.417471 6.429381
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.046682 0.316742 0.864726 1.774764 3.074602 4.740867 6.933669
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.040344 0.316714 0.898755 1.879753 3.292241 5.111839 7.514546
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.034234 0.315335 0.930506 1.982709 3.509665 5.486123 8.104484
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024013 0.293944 0.922791 2.023240 3.639399 5.746363 8.551230
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014058 0.263644 0.894399 2.029331 3.719880 5.942324 8.917602
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004860 0.217210 0.827040 1.968952 3.703457 6.009646 9.120349
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000712 0.176677 0.763646 1.909596 3.684651 6.071081 9.313502
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.147633 0.718882 1.876601 3.700292 6.175090 9.557947
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.136102 0.713272 1.909213 3.811430 6.406474 9.965755
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.121016 0.695956 1.920027 3.889581 6.593285 10.316355
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.099297 0.656012 1.888015 3.902141 6.690534 10.550810
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.104736 0.693155 1.995934 4.126172 7.075610 11.159096